The free agent market is showing signs of activity, with Rhys Hoskins finalizing a two-year, $34 million deal with the Milwaukee Brewers, including an opt-out after the first year. According to information from Jeff Passan, this contract, structured with an opt-out, is essentially a “pillow contract” for Hoskins, who missed the entire 2023 season due to an ACL injury sustained in spring training. Pending a physical examination, this deal presents an opportunity for Hoskins to showcase his hitting prowess and potentially pursue a larger contract if he proves himself post-injury.
Hoskins, ranked 20th among Top 50 Free Agents, fell short of the estimated three-year, $45 million contract but exceeded expectations in terms of average annual value. The Brewers, known for their reluctance to spend, surprised many with this multi-year deal, marking their first since 2021.
Hoskins brings a valuable hitting capability, displaying consistency throughout his career with a .242/.353/.492 slash line, a 13.5% walk rate, and a 23.9% strikeout rate, resulting in a career wRC+ of 126. Despite his power being occasionally streaky, he has maintained a reliable performance, never posting a full-season wRC+ below 112 or exceeding 128.
The Brewers, in need of offensive firepower, especially at first base, where their production has been subpar, can benefit significantly from Hoskins’ offensive contributions. His projected 2024 wRC+ of 115, although slightly below his career average, promises improvement for a team that has struggled in offensive metrics over the past five years.
While there are concerns about a potential decline, primarily related to health and defensive capabilities, the Brewers’ first base position has room for improvement, and Hoskins’ offensive output could offset any defensive shortcomings. Additionally, considering the team’s struggles at designated hitter, Hoskins could be a significant upgrade even if his defensive performance is not stellar.
Beyond the on-field contributions, the move brings in a clubhouse leader and fan favorite in Hoskins, who has been a beloved figure in Philadelphia. His departure from the Phillies is largely due to positional constraints, given Bryce Harper’s presence at first base. This move to Milwaukee provides Hoskins with an opportunity to contribute to a playoff contender and demonstrate his versatility by playing first base instead of being limited to a designated hitter role.
Overall, the deal seems to be a sensible move for both parties, offering potential upside for the Brewers and a chance for Hoskins to prove his value on a new team.
